Christian Dvorak vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 72.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 93.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 84.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Dvorak
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
47.8% (993)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
54.1% (111)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
56.0% (25)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Celebrini
Home
53.9% (497)
48.5% (538)
Away
53.3% (522)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Dvorak
Celebrini
P1
54.6%
48.1%
P2
53.2%
46.8%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
34.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |