Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Rossi 49.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 52.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Dvorak
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dvorak
Rossi
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Dvorak
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
51.6% (440)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
35.1% (37)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
37.0% (27)
+9.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Rossi
Home
53.9% (497)
50.0% (260)
Away
53.3% (522)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Dvorak
Rossi
P1
54.6%
53.7%
P2
53.2%
47.6%
P3
54.3%
47.4%
OT
34.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |