Christian Dvorak vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 51.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Dvorak
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dvorak
Kastelic
Last 7: Dvorak 2-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Dvorak
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
Dvorak
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
60.8% (362)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
83.3% (6)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
56.2% (146)
-9.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kastelic
Home
53.9% (497)
60.3% (242)
Away
53.3% (522)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Dvorak
Kastelic
P1
54.6%
58.9%
P2
53.2%
57.3%
P3
54.3%
64.0%
OT
34.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |