Christian Dvorak vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Barzal 41.9% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 71.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 74.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Dvorak
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
40.9% (469)
+13.3%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
34.2% (38)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
28.6% (7)
+17.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Barzal
Home
53.9% (497)
39.2% (250)
Away
53.3% (522)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Dvorak
Barzal
P1
54.6%
46.3%
P2
53.2%
36.7%
P3
54.3%
38.5%
OT
34.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |