Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Duchene 55.6% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dvorak
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
56.5% (566)
+0.5%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
61.3% (62)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Duchene
Home
58.3% (151)
56.6% (318)
Away
57.4% (190)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Dvorak
Duchene
P1
56.7%
57.2%
P2
56.7%
55.1%
P3
59.6%
55.6%
OT
60.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
57.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%