Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Domi 48.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 71.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 55.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dvorak
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Dvorak
Domi
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
4
Dvorak
Domi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dvorak
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
48.1% (4,339)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
53.5% (636)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
48.8% (41)
+2.0%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Domi
Home
54.7% (4,151)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Dvorak
Domi
P1
54.5%
48.7%
P2
51.9%
48.3%
P3
53.1%
49.7%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |