Christian Dvorak vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Backlund 49.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Dvorak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dvorak
Backlund
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Dvorak
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Dvorak
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
50.5% (944)
+3.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
51.5% (66)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
47.1% (297)
-0.7%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Backlund
Home
53.9% (497)
48.1% (636)
Away
53.3% (522)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Dvorak
Backlund
P1
54.6%
45.4%
P2
53.2%
54.1%
P3
54.3%
49.2%
OT
34.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |