Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Dowd 48.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 96.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 85.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Dvorak
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Dowd
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
51.0% (671)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
0.0% (2)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
41.5% (224)
+4.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowd
Home
53.9% (497)
48.2% (471)
Away
53.3% (522)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowd
P1
54.6%
48.3%
P2
53.2%
46.8%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
34.8%
30.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |