Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 71.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Dvorak
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
54.6% (271)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
54.4% (90)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Sturm
Home
53.9% (497)
53.0% (168)
Away
53.3% (522)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Dvorak
Sturm
P1
54.6%
58.2%
P2
53.2%
53.2%
P3
54.3%
52.3%
OT
34.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%