Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dvorak
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dvorak
Roy
Last 8: Dvorak 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Dvorak
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dvorak
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
51.9% (547)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
54.1% (37)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
53.3% (92)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Roy
Home
53.9% (497)
54.0% (328)
Away
53.3% (522)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Dvorak
Roy
P1
54.6%
53.5%
P2
53.2%
51.6%
P3
54.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |