Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Acciari 50.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 92.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 64.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 68.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Dvorak
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dvorak
Acciari
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Dvorak
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
52.7% (313)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
33.3% (18)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
49.7% (195)
-3.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Acciari
Home
53.9% (497)
52.6% (291)
Away
53.3% (522)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Dvorak
Acciari
P1
54.6%
53.7%
P2
53.2%
51.1%
P3
54.3%
48.5%
OT
34.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |