Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Hartman 45.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Dvorak
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dvorak
Hartman
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Dvorak
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dvorak
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
45.1% (874)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
47.4% (95)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
37.5% (16)
+8.9%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hartman
Home
53.9% (497)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.3% (522)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Dvorak
Hartman
P1
54.6%
47.3%
P2
53.2%
40.1%
P3
54.3%
48.3%
OT
34.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |