Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 63.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Dvorak
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Dvorak
Kesler
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
6
Dvorak
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
3
Dvorak
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Dvorak
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kesler
Home
54.7% (4,151)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Dvorak
Kesler
P1
54.5%
56.5%
P2
51.9%
55.9%
P3
53.1%
56.1%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 20, 2017 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |