Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 65.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Dvorak
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Dvorak
Gagner
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
4
Dvorak
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
2
Dvorak
Gagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
51.5% (928)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
35.0% (226)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gagner
Home
54.7% (4,151)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Dvorak
Gagner
P1
54.5%
44.6%
P2
51.9%
46.1%
P3
53.1%
47.3%
OT
56.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |