Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Steel 50.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 63.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Dvorak
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dvorak
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dvorak
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dvorak
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
52.5% (200)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
71.4% (7)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
40.0% (45)
+6.4%
On power play, Steel has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Steel
Home
53.9% (497)
49.5% (109)
Away
53.3% (522)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Dvorak
Steel
P1
54.6%
49.5%
P2
53.2%
47.5%
P3
54.3%
56.6%
OT
34.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sam Steel |