Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
52.6% (464)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
100.0% (1)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
46.5% (155)
-0.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
53.9% (497)
55.9% (322)
Away
53.3% (522)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
54.6%
55.9%
P2
53.2%
46.7%
P3
54.3%
50.7%
OT
34.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |