Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.7%). Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 68.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 68.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 63.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Dvorak
Monahan
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
7
0
Dvorak
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Dvorak
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
3
Dvorak
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
53.0% (874)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
54.7% (161)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
47.5% (101)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
53.9% (497)
53.8% (558)
Away
53.3% (522)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
54.6%
49.5%
P2
53.2%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
52.8%
OT
34.8%
61.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |