Christian Dvorak vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 68.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Dvorak
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
20
(37 meetings)
17
20
Dvorak
Stamkos
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
6
15
Dvorak
Stamkos
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
10
3
Dvorak
Stamkos
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Dvorak
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
50.5% (9,825)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
55.2% (1,729)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
49.6% (827)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stamkos
Home
54.7% (4,151)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Dvorak
Stamkos
P1
54.5%
49.2%
P2
51.9%
52.7%
P3
53.1%
50.9%
OT
56.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |