Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Oshie 46.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 73.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 94.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 79.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Dvorak
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dvorak
Oshie
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Dvorak
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Oshie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
45.2% (764)
+7.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
47.7% (1,221)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
40.2% (164)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Oshie
Home
54.7% (4,151)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Dvorak
Oshie
P1
54.5%
47.3%
P2
51.9%
45.2%
P3
53.1%
46.7%
OT
56.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |