Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Jost 40.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 90.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 89.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 89.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Dvorak
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Dvorak
Jost
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dvorak
Jost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
2
Dvorak
Jost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
41.0% (2,016)
+12.1%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
34.2% (73)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
35.2% (256)
+15.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,469).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Jost
Home
54.7% (4,151)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Dvorak
Jost
P1
54.5%
38.5%
P2
51.9%
41.1%
P3
53.1%
40.9%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |