Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +36.4% FO% edge overall. Fischer wins 12.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fischer 39.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (-36.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.7%
Defensive zone
Fischer 52.5%
Neutral zone
Fischer 52.3%
Result
Christian Fischer favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Fischer
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fischer
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Fischer
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fischer
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
15.2% (33)
54.1% (1,117)
-38.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.8% (296)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
23.1% (13)
34.4% (32)
-11.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fischer is 12.9% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Fischer shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Fischer
Hertl
Home
28.6% (28)
54.3% (709)
Away
4.8% (21)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Fischer
Hertl
P1
20.0%
51.6%
P2
16.7%
53.6%
P3
18.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
20.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
18.4%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |