Claude Giroux vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs McMichael 43.9% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 83.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 81.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Giroux
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
McMichael
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
McMichael
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
42.9% (408)
+18.1%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
49.1% (55)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
39.0% (105)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Giroux
McMichael
Home
66.6% (350)
43.0% (298)
Away
59.2% (346)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Giroux
McMichael
P1
62.1%
46.6%
P2
64.7%
40.8%
P3
61.6%
41.8%
Final 5 min
61.1%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |