Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Larkin 52.2% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Giroux
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Giroux
Larkin
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
7
Giroux
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Giroux
Larkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
51.1% (915)
+9.9%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
59.4% (261)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
48.2% (168)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Giroux
Larkin
Home
66.6% (350)
51.7% (686)
Away
59.2% (346)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Giroux
Larkin
P1
62.1%
52.5%
P2
64.7%
52.7%
P3
61.6%
51.4%
OT
69.2%
61.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |