Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Miller 60.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 56.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 61.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 65.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Giroux
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Giroux
Miller
Last 7: Giroux 2-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
5
Giroux
Miller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
62.0% (582)
-1.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
65.9% (126)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
50.7% (71)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Giroux
Miller
Home
66.6% (350)
63.0% (416)
Away
59.2% (346)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Giroux
Miller
P1
62.1%
60.7%
P2
64.7%
63.9%
P3
61.6%
60.2%
OT
69.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |