Claude Giroux vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Pageau 59.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Giroux
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Giroux
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
59.4% (726)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
69.0% (42)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
59.7% (221)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pageau
Home
66.6% (350)
58.4% (430)
Away
59.2% (346)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Giroux
Pageau
P1
62.1%
55.4%
P2
64.7%
61.8%
P3
61.6%
61.5%
OT
69.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |