Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Carter 53.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 35-28 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 82.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 70.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 67.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Giroux
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
28
(63 meetings)
35
28
Giroux
Carter
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
14
9
Giroux
Carter
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
13
10
Giroux
Carter
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
8
9
Giroux
Carter
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
53.3% (8,728)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
57.3% (1,554)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
46.3% (1,087)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,134).
Giroux shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Giroux
Carter
Home
59.2% (10,265)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Giroux
Carter
P1
57.5%
53.6%
P2
56.2%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
53.1%
OT
51.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |