Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Toews 60.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 52.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 60.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Giroux
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Giroux
Toews
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Giroux
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
62.6% (728)
-1.6%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
59.4% (143)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
46.9% (32)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Giroux
Toews
Home
66.6% (350)
61.1% (455)
Away
59.2% (346)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Giroux
Toews
P1
62.1%
59.7%
P2
64.7%
66.7%
P3
61.6%
58.4%
OT
69.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |