Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Staal 54.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 81.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Giroux
Staal
Last 9: Giroux 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
2
Giroux
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
56.2% (989)
+4.8%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
66.0% (159)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
42.7% (253)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
66.6% (350)
55.4% (699)
Away
59.2% (346)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
62.1%
55.7%
P2
64.7%
54.7%
P3
61.6%
53.4%
OT
69.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |