Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 129 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 191-153 in 344 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
153
-
191
(344 meetings)
153
191
Giroux
Staal
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
69
54
Giroux
Staal
123 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
44
85
Giroux
Staal
129 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
40
52
Giroux
Staal
92 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
55.9% (14,654)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
62.7% (1,762)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
47.9% (2,907)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
59.2% (10,265)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
57.5%
55.2%
P2
56.2%
55.9%
P3
57.3%
54.8%
OT
51.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
58.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |