Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 77.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Giroux
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Giroux
Scheifele
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Giroux
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
3
Giroux
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
46.5% (919)
+14.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
48.7% (187)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
50.0% (54)
+15.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Giroux
Scheifele
Home
66.6% (350)
46.6% (605)
Away
59.2% (346)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Giroux
Scheifele
P1
62.1%
52.3%
P2
64.7%
45.3%
P3
61.6%
43.9%
OT
69.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |