Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 35 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 45-33 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 72.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 80.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Giroux
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
33
(78 meetings)
45
33
Giroux
Duchene
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
17
12
Giroux
Duchene
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
23
12
Giroux
Duchene
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
9
Giroux
Duchene
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
53.9% (10,438)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
57.0% (1,677)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
49.1% (468)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Giroux
Duchene
Home
59.2% (10,265)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Giroux
Duchene
P1
57.5%
54.4%
P2
56.2%
54.5%
P3
57.3%
53.4%
OT
51.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |