Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Frost 56.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Giroux
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Giroux
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
56.0% (755)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
60.1% (173)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
88.9% (9)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Giroux
Frost
Home
66.6% (350)
57.3% (497)
Away
59.2% (346)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Giroux
Frost
P1
62.1%
60.2%
P2
64.7%
56.0%
P3
61.6%
54.8%
OT
69.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
61.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |