Claude Giroux vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 75.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Giroux
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Giroux
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
49.7% (1,038)
+11.3%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
63.7% (157)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
34.4% (32)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKinnon
Home
66.6% (350)
53.1% (618)
Away
59.2% (346)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Giroux
MacKinnon
P1
62.1%
49.3%
P2
64.7%
53.0%
P3
61.6%
50.7%
OT
69.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |