Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Foligno 49.9% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 69.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Giroux
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Giroux
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
49.5% (291)
+11.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
55.8% (43)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
47.2% (53)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Giroux
Foligno
Home
66.6% (350)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.2% (346)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Giroux
Foligno
P1
62.1%
43.0%
P2
64.7%
55.9%
P3
61.6%
50.0%
OT
69.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |