Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Paul 50.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 51.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 51.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Giroux
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Giroux
Paul
Last 9: Giroux 4-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Giroux
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Giroux
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
48.8% (666)
+10.8%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
53.8% (65)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
60.0% (55)
+1.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Giroux
Paul
Home
65.7% (461)
49.7% (348)
Away
57.7% (515)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Giroux
Paul
P1
60.7%
51.0%
P2
63.7%
47.4%
P3
60.2%
51.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
61.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |