Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 58.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Giroux
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
45.9% (697)
+15.1%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
47.9% (117)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
48.0% (25)
+17.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Giroux
Schmaltz
Home
66.6% (350)
44.9% (434)
Away
59.2% (346)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Giroux
Schmaltz
P1
62.1%
41.5%
P2
64.7%
46.7%
P3
61.6%
51.1%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |