Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Roy 51.9% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 67.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Giroux
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Giroux
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Giroux
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
51.9% (547)
+9.1%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
54.1% (37)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
53.3% (92)
+12.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Giroux
Roy
Home
66.6% (350)
54.0% (328)
Away
59.2% (346)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Giroux
Roy
P1
62.1%
53.5%
P2
64.7%
51.6%
P3
61.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
61.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |