Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Cates 45.5% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 85.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 78.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Giroux
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Giroux
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
45.5% (756)
+15.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
42.1% (114)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
44.7% (47)
+20.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Giroux
Cates
Home
66.6% (350)
46.2% (468)
Away
59.2% (346)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Giroux
Cates
P1
62.1%
46.0%
P2
64.7%
47.5%
P3
61.6%
42.1%
OT
69.2%
18.2%
Final 5 min
61.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |