Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 62.2% vs Kapanen 48.5% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 70.6%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Giroux
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Giroux
Kapanen
Last 6: Giroux 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (302)
48.4% (450)
+14.8%
Power Play
68.8% (93)
54.1% (37)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
64.5% (121)
37.5% (32)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Giroux is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Giroux shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kapanen
Home
67.5% (277)
48.1% (266)
Away
61.1% (239)
48.2% (253)
By Period
Giroux
Kapanen
P1
65.1%
42.0%
P2
64.7%
52.9%
P3
63.6%
49.4%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
64.5%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |