Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 70.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 67.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Giroux
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Giroux
Kapanen
Last 6: Giroux 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Giroux
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
46.5% (527)
+14.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
54.8% (42)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
39.5% (38)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Kapanen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kapanen
Home
66.6% (350)
47.0% (315)
Away
59.2% (346)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Giroux
Kapanen
P1
62.1%
41.6%
P2
64.7%
50.7%
P3
61.6%
47.6%
OT
69.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |