Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Zacha 51.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 60.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Giroux
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Giroux
Zacha
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Giroux
Zacha
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
53.0% (700)
+8.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
54.1% (109)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
39.2% (74)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Giroux
Zacha
Home
66.6% (350)
51.6% (438)
Away
59.2% (346)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Giroux
Zacha
P1
62.1%
57.0%
P2
64.7%
48.9%
P3
61.6%
50.5%
OT
69.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
61.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |