Claude Giroux vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 76.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 81.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 69.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
46.0% (250)
+15.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
70.6% (17)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
31.8% (22)
+33.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
66.6% (350)
50.3% (175)
Away
59.2% (346)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Giroux
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
62.1%
48.5%
P2
64.7%
45.9%
P3
61.6%
46.5%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |