Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Poehling 48.0% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Giroux
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Giroux
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Giroux
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
50.4% (680)
+10.6%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
58.3% (12)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
38.8% (219)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Giroux
Poehling
Home
66.6% (350)
47.4% (422)
Away
59.2% (346)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Giroux
Poehling
P1
62.1%
53.3%
P2
64.7%
40.3%
P3
61.6%
50.0%
OT
69.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |