Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 73.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 77.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Giroux
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Giroux
Gagner
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
5
Giroux
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
5
Giroux
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
45.4% (4,699)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
51.5% (928)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
35.0% (226)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,134).
Giroux shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gagner
Home
59.2% (10,265)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Giroux
Gagner
P1
57.5%
44.6%
P2
56.2%
46.1%
P3
57.3%
47.3%
OT
51.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 8, 2017 | OT | 01:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 27, 2015 | OT | 04:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |