Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 88.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 60.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Giroux
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Giroux
Kuraly
Last 7: Giroux 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Giroux
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
52.6% (464)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
100.0% (1)
-33.6%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
46.5% (155)
+19.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kuraly
Home
66.6% (350)
55.9% (322)
Away
59.2% (346)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Giroux
Kuraly
P1
62.1%
55.9%
P2
64.7%
46.7%
P3
61.6%
50.7%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |