Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 89.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 93.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 75.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Giroux
Monahan
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
2
Giroux
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
53.0% (874)
+8.0%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
54.7% (161)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
47.5% (101)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
66.6% (350)
53.8% (558)
Away
59.2% (346)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
62.1%
49.5%
P2
64.7%
54.8%
P3
61.6%
52.8%
OT
69.2%
61.9%
Final 5 min
61.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |