Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Aho 50.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 72.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 95.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 77.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Giroux
Aho
Last 9: Giroux 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Giroux
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
50.5% (878)
+10.5%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
53.5% (144)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
44.3% (61)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
66.6% (350)
53.8% (571)
Away
59.2% (346)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
62.1%
49.0%
P2
64.7%
51.7%
P3
61.6%
50.3%
OT
69.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
61.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |