Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 53 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Aho 51.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 67-47 in 114 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 83.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 95.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 90.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Giroux
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
47
(114 meetings)
67
47
Giroux
Aho
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
15
23
Giroux
Aho
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
40
13
Giroux
Aho
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
12
11
Giroux
Aho
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
50.2% (6,646)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
58.9% (1,310)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
46.5% (465)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Giroux
Aho
Home
59.2% (10,265)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Giroux
Aho
P1
57.5%
51.1%
P2
56.2%
52.1%
P3
57.3%
50.8%
OT
51.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |