Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Stamkos 55.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 66.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
57.1% (368)
+3.9%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
55.2% (96)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
50.0% (10)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
66.6% (350)
53.9% (230)
Away
59.2% (346)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
62.1%
56.7%
P2
64.7%
54.1%
P3
61.6%
59.2%
OT
69.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
61.1%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |