Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 79.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 66.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Giroux
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Giroux
Nosek
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
1
Giroux
Nosek
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
9
Giroux
Nosek
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
4
Giroux
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
54.9% (2,710)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
45.8% (48)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
47.2% (428)
+10.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Giroux
Nosek
Home
59.2% (10,265)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Giroux
Nosek
P1
57.5%
52.2%
P2
56.2%
54.1%
P3
57.3%
54.7%
OT
51.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |