Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 39-34 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 63.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Giroux
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
39
(73 meetings)
34
39
Giroux
Johnson
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
16
13
Giroux
Johnson
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
10
16
Giroux
Johnson
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
8
10
Giroux
Johnson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
49.8% (5,396)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
54.6% (885)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
42.3% (707)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,107).
Giroux shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Giroux
Johnson
Home
59.2% (10,192)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Giroux
Johnson
P1
57.5%
50.1%
P2
56.1%
50.6%
P3
57.3%
48.4%
OT
51.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |